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François Bayrou invente l'extrême centre, par Alain DUHAMEL
Libération: mercredi 29 novembre 2006

Evidemment, on parlera bien davantage de la déclaration officielle d candidature de Nicolas Sarkozy que de la sienne : François Bayrou es habitué à être traité en second rôle par les médias. Il a même relevé depui longtemps que plus ceux-ci sont puissants, plus chiche est la place qu'ils lu réservent. Qu'il s'agisse du temps de passage et du nombre d'interventions la télévision et à la radio, de la fréquence des couvertures des new magazines ou des titres à la une des quotidiens, Nicolas Sarkozy est traité e empereur, Ségolène Royal en reine de France, le Béarnais, lui, doit s contenter des miettes réservées à un hobereau de province. Les Guignols d l'Info, généralement plus malins, le griment en benêt bégayant, alors qu'i s'impose comme un excellent orateur. Il a choisi samedi prochain décembre, anniversaire de la victoire d'Austerlitz mais aussi du coup d'Eta du futur Napoléon III, pour se lancer officiellement dans la bataill présidentielle. Cela ne suffira pas pour que son initiative soit saluée comm une date historique. François Bayrou fait partie de ces hommes politiques qu ont toujours besoin de démontrer qu'ils sont sous-estimés
Dans la campagne présidentielle, qui passe cette semaine de sa phase préliminaire à la compétition proprement dite, le président de l'UDF constitue cependant un mystère et détient au moins l'une des clefs du scrutin. Actuellement, les sondages lui attribuent entre 6 % et 12 %, du simple au double, selon les instituts. Outre que cela entretient des interrogations sur la fiabilité de ces évaluations, deux constatations peuvent être faites : François Bayrou se situe cette fois-ci à un niveau d'intentions de vote nettement plus élevé qu'il y a cinq ans, à cinq mois de ce 21 avril 2002 où il obtint deux millions de voix et 6,84 % des suffrages exprimés. Il peut donc aspirer à un score sensiblement supérieur s'il réalise une bonne campagne. Par ailleurs, son image personnelle n'a jamais été aussi bonne dans les enquêtes d'opinion. Il y a aujourd'hui un intérêt perceptible pour François Bayrou qui a fait la preuve de son indépendance vis-à-vis de l'UMP et du gouvernement. Il a voté la motion de censure présentée par le PS, refuse d'approuver le budget, critique avec véhémence les choix de Dominique de Villepin, mais surtout ne laisse pas passer une occasion de se démarquer violemment de Nicolas Sarkozy. Même s'il a voté auparavant nombre de lois présentées par la droite sous cette législature, François Bayrou a ostensiblement choisi la liberté en 2006. Il n'est certes pas de gauche, toutes ses prises de position économiques le prouvent, il ne peut plus être classé comme un allié de la droite. François Bayrou s'est émancipé.
Du coup, il apparaît comme le porteur de deux secrets : peut-il effectuer dans l'opinion publique une percée qui lui permettrait de surgir en troisième homme, au détriment de Jean-Marie Le Pen ? Et s'il ne se qualifie pas pour le second tour, ce qui semble de loin le plus vraisemblable, de quel poids pèsera-t-il sur la décision finale ? Dans pratiquement tous les sondages, le président du Front national le devance aujourd'hui largement (sauf dans le dernier Ifop- Paris Match qui les place à égalité). Les circonstances servent une fois de plus le vieux leader de l'extrême droite, qu'il s'agisse de l'insécurité des personnes, des polémiques sur l'immigration ou du brusque ralentissement de la croissance. S'il s'agit d'annoncer l'apocalypse, de chevaucher les pires démons, de faire trembler la France entière, personne ne peut rivaliser avec Jean-Marie Le Pen. La campagne actuelle de François Bayrou se différencie cependant délibérément de ses campagnes précédentes. Cette fois, le plus célèbre Béarnais depuis Henri IV (son idole) ne fait pas dans la nuance et la finesse : s'il maintient ses options traditionnelles (l'Europe, la laïcité, l'économie de marché, la régulation sociale), il change carrément de ton. Le président de l'UDF invente l'extrême centre, comme il y a une extrême droite et une extrême gauche. Il se campe en candidat anti-système, dénonce avec violence l'oligarchie au pouvoir, joue à l'imprécateur face au PS et à l'UMP, annonce la révolution démocratique, prêche une croisade en faveur de la libération des Français, assujettis malgré eux à un dualisme artificiel dont il veut les sauver. Il n'a pas de mots assez durs pour les deux partis dominants mais appelle en même temps à un gouvernement d'union rassemblant centristes, gaullistes sociaux et sociaux-démocrates modernistes, seule condition à ses yeux pour surmonter réellement les blocages français.
Il y a là une rhétorique de la colère à la Péguy ou à la Bernanos et des accents de dénonciation grandiloquente qui flirtent avec la démocratie d'opinion ambiante, frisent le populisme et ne craignent pas une pointe de démagogie. François Bayrou s'enhardit, se lance dans l'inconnu, charge les yeux bandés, quitte à galoper aux confins de territoires ambigus. Avec quelle efficacité ? Mystère. S'il atteint, a fortiori s'il dépasse la barre symbolique des 10 %, il devient cependant une puissance moyenne, avec laquelle Ségolène Royal et Nicolas Sarkozy devront compter. Dans ce cas-là, le prix du ralliement sera une réforme institutionnelle drastique et, notamment, l'introduction d'un mode de scrutin à l'allemande, ce nouveau Graal des centristes.  
bloc_b_g Ajouté le Jeudi 30 novembre 2006 à 18:04 par Admin - (suite... | 24 commentaires) bloc_b_d

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bloc_h_g rolex classic women fake :: [Commentaire n°17] bloc_h_d
Posté par xiang le 22/05/2013

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